The latest SWS survey results are out and it looks like there’s a change of momentum. Buoyed by his aggressive stance against Legacy and Celso delos Angeles, Senator Mar Roxas surged with +5 rating points for the month of February. Another big gainer is Senator Escudero, who has also been harping on the same issue. The sudden change in points indicates that people can still change their mind with regards to who they will vote for in 2010 given the stand of potential candidates in key issues facing the country. Those who registered significant gains were the politicians who were very vocal about Legacy, Spratly’s, and all the other problems that made the headlines.
Source: Kevin Ray
Almost all other candidates experienced a slight decline in their ratings save for De Castro who dropped 4 whole points. This survey might have irked Senator Villar a bit since he hit a plateau yet he’s still one of the biggest spenders so far with his tri-media campaign on OFW’s. Then again maintaining your spot probably costs a lot of money too, hehe.
What this survey is telling me that it is still anyone’s ballgame. The next few months will be critical for aspiring Presidents in 2010. Where they stand on pressing issues will determine their fate and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a couple of people in this list rise up and crack into the top 4. Sudden 5-point movements a year heading into the election really shows that the battle hasn’t been decided yet.
Note that this is just a survey and is not 100% indicative of the will of the people. This short post is merely drawing analysis from the numbers presented by the study.
Popularity: 1% [?]
If someone believes in SWS survey should have their head and iQ checked. Pun intended for effect. :)
Watcha unhappy about? D’ya think Binay is more popular than those numbers say? :grin: Binay? :razz: That Binay!!!
Why in the heck sticky-Noli garnered the most in the survey? Seems like we, Filipinos, love serial philanderers … :)
Panfilio with his “Law-and-Order/Kuratong” platform has dropped. That’s a good sign, isn’t it?
UPn, don’t get so high on your hopes. Cross your fingers miracles can still happen in the Philippines like any other elections we have had.
Thanks for this update. Let’s begin chewing on the numbers and the likelihood of their conversions into votes, and the pairings,
C’mon you guys. This is like talking about what the weather is gonna be like next year based on yesterday’s Pagasa Weather Report. It’s pure nonsense.
it seems the analysis last february is correct. in a close fight like this, money will be a significant factor.
Offhand, these four people – Miriam, Bong, Jinggoy, and Francis – should not have been included as presidentiables since they did not signify nor have shown to signify they are gunning for the presidency.
On this alone, this SWS survey is of dubious validity.
Why did it not include Bro. Mike, Bro. Villanueva, Fr. Panlilio, PLDT Manny Pangilinan, Customs Commissioner Villar unless outright SWS has considered them nuisance candidates.
KP,
Opinion tracking and numbers crunching while scientifically done is BIG BUSINESS. :)
Inclusion of names is part of the ‘science’ where those who hear voices in their head need their ‘inner stirrings’ to be confirmed, and also be able to use the ‘dip sticks’ to court financial backers.
The ‘real politik’ of real politics. :)
Here is another who has special hearing.
————
Enrile said it was destined by God that Estrada had suffered in confinement so that if he comes back as president of the country he would know the problems that must be solved to help the country develop.
Senate President Juan Ponce Enrile remarked that with the warm reception Estrada gets in his provincial sorties from local resident, he believes that it is only Estrada who can unify the country.
“How come [Estrada] always gets a warm reception from the public despite the negative news about him,” said Enrile.
“Erap is destined to become president again. Only Erap can unify Philippine society,” Enrile added.
http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/breakingnews/regions/view/20090331-197235/Estrada-Binay-tandem-pushed-in-grad-rites
Ding,
How much does SWS get with one piece of work?
kp,
It varies really.
A client-specific survey with a national sampling runs to 7 figures, last I heard.
What are called “piggyback” questions, per piece go from a low of 50 to 100K.
But the packages go up in terms of multiple quarter polling activities.
The polling firms also do intensive FGDs or Focus Group Discussions.
Ding & KP:
They earn higher as election approaches.
Other than the quarterly/periodic surveys (like this sws survey), there are clients who specifically ask survey firms to do surveys for them.
In 2007, I heard the Admin commissioned a survey firm AFTER THE ELECTION just for them to know where and how they lost in the senatorial race. :D
Let’s face it, if no one pulls out from the race then the race to the presidency will always be a shady thing.
Its also a hard thing for us to disregard the power of surveys because they always create a mindset on the voters. Something must be happening under its table…
We dont believe in surveys or polls, especially if they comew from
the Philippines.
The next election will have a lot of surprises.
Who cares about Surveys! Even ONE GREAT SURVEY CALLED, “ELECTION” is even questionable!!!!
PWEEEE Pa-survey-survey wala gali tayong tiwala sa Election much more survey!!!!!
Pweeee!!!!!
for one, politicians believe in surveys.
will they let out Millions if they don’t?
@ Kevin,
Relay my regards to your principal.
You may care to:
http://midfield.wordpress.com/2009/04/01/the-numbers-game-in-the-2010-elections/
@Ding – I will Ding…
Anyone’s game. Whoever wins, Philippines still LOSES.