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Something Wicked

Depression isn’t a word used lightly. Something wicked comes our way.

Take this bit of a picture from Calculated Risk’s US Trade Exports and Imports Decline:

we're in it now

and how about this imagery from Time for a Reality Check:
is the sky falling?

According to the New York Times, the International Labor Organization said that by the end of 2009, 50 Million people could be jobless. And in the same post, the International Monetary Fund’s deputy director for research, Charles Collyns was quoted to be “expecting the global economic growth will reach its lowest point since the Depression.”

The ominous feeling is felt across every strata. Even as Twitter gets US$35 Million in venture funds, and Opportunity Knocks, even as some cry, “Web 2.0 Dies – Enjoy Hell,” the common battle cry: how do we monetize all this, and fast?

The news saying Philippine Star was bought by MediaQuest was a yawner and Cacho-Olivares’ quoted comment on it made me laugh and made me sad at the truth of it:

For Cacho-Olivares, such a multimedia push does not necessarily threaten existing papers. “It’s always a matter of content, credibility and independence that make a newspaper.  No matter how tech-savvy a newspaper is, in the Philippines, there are very few computers and while mobiles can now connect to the web, it still costs too much for the average Filipino.”

Did I just hear a sigh over at that back room?

This post from Howard Lindzon made me nod in agreement:

In the meantime, I must say, what a bunch of ‘Panzies’ old media has become. As for Telecom, they make me puke. We will be bailing both our soon with TARP at the rate they run their businesses.

What waste you know? The Philippines should really make a conscious effort to improve broadband and the mobile internet. It would sure be great to come out of this typhoon, better, smarter, faster, you know?

Then again, when elephants go to war, things like Mamanwa hold strong seem to slip off the cracks.

Read off Abs-CBN that there was a Leadership Elocution Competition and high school seniors delivered speeches on Leadership. I found it ominous and poignant:

For Chinese-looking (but purely Filipino) John Xavier Valdez from Ateneo de Manila High School, “Leadership is not about power or charisma. It is not social class or distinction. It is not about job experience or education.” 

In his grand prize-winning piece, Valdez said that leadership is “something that transcends age, class, social distinction, gender, even the shape of one’s eyes. Leadership is about influence, nothing more, nothing less.” He added that, “Under this definition, every man, woman, child, in this nation of 90 million is a leader in his own right.”

Great men and by extension— leaders, are willing to sacrifice to save the world. And their common denominator has always been to wallow in the past and obsess about the future. There is a reason why Command is a lonely pace to be. Great Men and Leaders, they decide and they do.

Of course, this too is just business:

World Bank explained in its statement that it conducted the investigation and banned the involved construction firms “To help the Bank safeguard the funds entrusted to us…This is why the Bank conducts its own investigations under its own administrative rules and procedures.”

Who would trust the World Bank if it goes on to destabilize however inadvertently, governments and nations?

The Washington Post had this a few days ago:

Geithner did not directly press other nations to adopt the same approach as the U.S., officials said. But in describing the U.S. response, he delivered a clear message to the other nations: Develop rescue initiatives sooner rather than later. And make them big enough to meet the challenges ahead.

“You’ve seen the new administration in the U.S. move with unprecedented speed, not just to work with the Congress to authorize new resources to help strengthen the financial system, but to move very, very quickly to put in place this very powerful economic recovery plan,” he told reporters after the meeting. “What’s important now is you hear around the world a much greater sense of urgency and commitment… We all recognize that the power of what we do individuadlly will be much more effective if we move together.”

Geithner’s message was well received at the international talks, known as the G-7, which gather the U.S., Japan and five major nations from Europe. Russia and world financial organizations also attended.

For Globalization to die, just as it did after the last Great Depression would be a serious mistake. The world is a better place because we each trade freely, where there are no fewer boundaries. Wouldn’t it be a nice step forward that as we celebrate our differences and diversity, we challenge each other in new and positive ways. And perhaps after this depression, the world can figure out a new kind of Economics and Politics that celebrate hard work and sacrifice and punishes greed and self-interest. A pipe dream, maybe. If King, sixty years ago did not dream then a son of a Kenyan wouldn’t be sitting on the White House facing unprecedented challenges.

Depression isn’t a word used lightly. There is something in the air that just says, “it won’t quit”. Don’t you think we should have a sense of urgency and commitment to face these challenges with open eyes?

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Comments

  1. BrianB says:

    Cocoy, web. 2.0 was partly powered by cubicle types enjoying the Internet at work.

  2. BrianB says:

    How much do you think Gorrel has to do with Philstar being sold off to PLDT? And what is the likelihood Gorrel will set his sights on Nugent?

  3. Bert says:

    Maybe something good might come out from this situation for our country the Philippines.

    Considering that globalization (they say) favors the more advance nations in terms of trade exchanges and the Philippines not an advance nation therefore at a disadvantage, then it could be said that in a situation where each nation of the world would have to take care of itself by itself surely has certain benefits and advantages for us that might be useful in coping with the impending crisis.

    I totally agree with cocoy that we must “have a sense of urgency and commitment to face these challenges…”.

    But, with a government infested with denizens at the highest level known for their excessive desire to eat, do we have even a chinaman’s chance?

  4. cocoy says:

    brian b,

    i strongly believe that we’re back at to that time when landline service sucked. we’re waiting for an explosion in the same sort as SMS and the mobile phone did for Filipinos.

    in the philippines, it has been a cellphone world for awhile now but it is trapped in SMS technology. basic phones can only do sms, and call. to say that this is just in the philippines is wrong. the world over data rates are slow to grow but at least they are growing.

    the country is stuck in the stone age.

    Wired has this post on Network Theory Could Regulate Human Reproduction:

    Moses invokes the Metabolic Theory of Energy, which explains the relationship between mammalian size, lifespans and reproduction rates — the bigger a body, the longer it lives, with fewer offspring — as a function of cardiovascular networks. As the sum length of capillaries and arteries increases, nutrient flow efficiency drops. The less efficient an animal’s networks, the more difficult it becomes to acquire the energy needed for raising a child.

    my point being, the correlation with networks and energy usage maybe that we find it more difficult to build better information networks because our society, and economy is vastly inefficient.

  5. cocoy says:

    Bert,

    But, with a government infested with denizens at the highest level known for their excessive desire to eat, do we have even a chinaman’s chance?

    sadly yes.

  6. BrianB says:

    Another take:

    http://news.cnet.com/8301-13505_3-10164285-16.html?part=rss&subj=news&tag=2547-1_3-0-20

    Now that web 2.0 has ceased being a buzzword, it’s time real money drops for the industry.

  7. Phil Manila says:

    cocoy,

    Even if the the wheels of commerce be present (money, credit and confidence, which are all seriously lacking or nil at the moment) there is a big drop in demand in all countries because of lost jobs.

    Unless we agree to barter trade, countries would have to stimuli their own economies first before importing.

  8. cocoy says:

    phil,

    Even if the the wheels of commerce be present (money, credit and confidence, which are all seriously lacking or nil at the moment) there is a big drop in demand in all countries because of lost jobs.

    Unless we agree to barter trade, countries would have to stimuli their own economies first before importing.

    i don’t disagree. but as bert points out:

    with a government infested with denizens at the highest level known for their excessive desire to eat, do we have even a chinaman’s chance?

  9. cvj says:

    Cocoy, i guess sentiments similar to yours were expressed by die-hard communists when it was their system that was collapsing back in 1989. Now it’s the die-hard capitalists’ turn.

  10. Mang Karyo says:

    During the Depression in the U.S., before World
    War II. The U.S. had a good President: Pres.
    Franklin Delano Roosevelt. He knows the problems
    and the solutions. He was also facing the Axis as
    enemies. War and Depression… he took the Bull
    by the horn and won.

    That is Leadership. You cannot define it in Words,
    but in Deeds and Results.

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