The Effects of Panlilio’s Candidacy on the Electoral Process…
March 24th, 2009 by chuck…will be similar to the effects of Raul Roco’s candidacy in 2004, which is to say that it will be good for the short term, but bad for the long term. During the 2010 Campaign season, Panlilio’s candidacy will galvanize the idealistic segment of the voting population (mostly from the Middle Class) who wish for genuine change. However, despite all their Obama-style grassroots efforts, the most likely outcome is that Panlilio will lose, at which point, his supporters will slide back into apathy. Just like the typical Roco-voter who believed that the outcome of the 2004 election was something for the FPJ or GMA supporters to sort out, the last thing on the minds of the typical Panlilio-voter will be ensuring that the elections reflect the will of the majority, whom the former will consider to be largely unthinking. What starts out as an idealistic movement for good governance will then end up as another excuse for apathy and elitism.
March 24, 2009 at 12:35 am
Spot on cvj.
The national political elite, through their heirs (Roxas, Teodoro, and Cayetano), proxy candidates (De Castro, Legarda, Escudero), crony capitalists (Villar and Fernando), and trapos (Estrada, Gordon, and Binay) would produce no Obama.
Amen to the clueless and confused spiritual leaders Mike Velarde and brother Villanueva.
Sadly, even the party lists have ‘gamed the system.’
Hmmm. Senator Ping has not been pigeon-holed.
Lacson-Panlilio or vice versa!
March 24, 2009 at 12:41 am
This will be a different election. Voters are
more informed because of the advances in Information
Technology. Money will not be a primary factor as
the billion peso Candidate Villar had said.
In Nicaragua, they just elected an unknown candidate
as President. With People using the New Information
Technology to inform people for the candidates’ qualifications. Politicians’ PR men did not have
a chance to compete.
March 24, 2009 at 12:48 am
Serapio, i don’t think the President of Nicaragua (Daniel Ortega) is unknown as he has been leader of that country before.
March 24, 2009 at 12:55 am
I was still young to know about Ortega. I think
he is a leftist candidate.
March 24, 2009 at 1:02 am
Yes, Ortega was the leader of the Sandinistas (equivalent to our CPP/NPA) which took after after they overthrew the dictatorship of Anastasio Somoza in the 1980’s. He stepped down in 1990 after he was beaten in an election. After a gap of sixteen years, he was elected President. So this is his second time to be leader of Nicaragua.
March 24, 2009 at 2:17 am
cvj, apart from the likelihood that panlilio will lose like roco(as you pointed out), what happens in the remote possibility that he wins? i don’t think it’s enough to have “moral integrity” (assuming he has it). i think it’s more important to have leadership ability – that rare adeptness at building a consensus and attracting true cooperation, if not loyalty. panlilio is a lonely dove in pampanga – more remarkable for creating dissension, if not outright rebellion, than cooperation. even the church is not too enthusiastic with the prospect of him being president, it seems.
comparing panlilio to obama is a stretch. obama is a used-car salesman (figuratively speaking) who can make a cat dance with his charm and oratory. of course, there will always be those hungry sharks, vultures, and crocodiles who will be hovering around a president panlilio. and so it goes, and so it will go on.
March 24, 2009 at 2:32 am
bencard,
The comparison was hope for change, not on oratorical prowess.
BTW, Obama is even better than a used-car salesman: he’s snake oil dealer :)
March 24, 2009 at 3:51 am
the very obvious thing is that…panlilio is not yet similar to the trapos…panlilio is the real new breed in politics…di sya anak ng politiko, di sya galing sa pamilyang politiko at wala pa syang utang na dapat bayaran sa mga politiko…
sa kanyang pinagdaanan sa pampanga, masasabi ko na itong taong ito ay walang pakialam kahit magalit man ang mga mayor sa kanyang probinsya sa kanya..ibig sabihin wala syang pakialam kung mawawalan sya ng mayor na susupurta sa kanya sa susunod na election…naiibang pamamaraan ng pamolitika…tinalo nya ang mga lapid at mga pineda…hindi naman siguro dahil mas malaki ang pinambili nya ng boto kesa sa ginastos ng mga pineda at lapid…kundi dahil sa nagsawa na ang mayoria ng kapampangan ng paulit ulit na paghalal ng politikong kurakot, mandarambong at walang inatupag kundi ang patabain ang mga bulsa nila…
sa oras na makikipagbesobeso si panlilio sa mga trapo at makipag-alyansa sa mga partido political nila…yun na ang panahon na masasabi ko na si panlilio ay walang pinag-iba sa mga walang silbing politiko natin.
March 24, 2009 at 5:34 am
It can be change for the worse… who knows !
March 24, 2009 at 5:58 am
The idea of a Panlilio should not even be entertained. That to me is a political mirage.
March 24, 2009 at 6:01 am
Bottomline, I don’t get what the effects of Panlilio’s candidacy are. What is it he is talking about?
March 24, 2009 at 6:06 am
I don’t think we can discount the “Obama Factor”–it seems electorates all over the world want to have their own Obama, who was, imo, elected because the American People wanted Change. Even my dog and cat could’ve beaten John McCain and that ditz from Alaska. The idea that he “talked” them into it is mere sour graping by the Losers in the last US election, very much like the sour graping of Losers here in the Philippines. Tee Hee!
March 24, 2009 at 8:08 am
I have no problems voting for Panlilio, especially when compared to the alternatives. As Juwan_D points out (at 3:51am), he already has demonstrated a track record in Pampanga. My problem is with his would be supporters’ all or nothing mentality. This encourages cheating and strategic deal-making on the part of the more winnable candidates because they know that the idealist voters will have taken themselves out of the equation by the time the counting is over.
March 24, 2009 at 8:57 am
panlilio’s fundraising strategy of “piso piso” can be a good indication that the pair understand full disclosure. It may discourage the private sectors to limit their gift giving to their favorite candidates. The awareness of reversing the trend of vote buying may be encourage. It’s the right thing to do to ask the people for help during their campaign. This country has been accustomed to receiving money in return for their votes. panlilio’s campaign may be the opposite and everyone can also afford. The target market of this campaign is not the middle income earner but the poor- almost everyone has a peso.
It’s time for the people of this country to directly participate and donate to elect their leader instead of doing the opposite. it can work but I do like the concept. it’s humble and acceptable.
March 24, 2009 at 9:14 am
It is not entirely recommended to try a new product precisely because too much experimentation is an aweful waste of time.
I don’t mind putting Lacson now.
March 24, 2009 at 9:40 am
tell me about Lacson , karlpopper? what’s his strategy of financing his campaign? how he is going to raise at least 1 billion pesos to win?
March 24, 2009 at 9:52 am
Who knows, support might just keep pouring in if indeed a political miracle can happen where only one candidate from the broad opposition can be field in – say Ping?
As far as I have seen, he is the only one who can push the crusade against corruption to its final fruition if given the chance although I doubt if people will vote for him. Maybe he needs help from everyone of us.
March 24, 2009 at 12:10 pm
This will be the 3rd time Ping will be running for president. I doubt if he can still make it to the top, if not the votes that goes to him will only be wasted than channeling it to a unified opposition bearer.
As for Panlilios’s effect on this elections even though he does not run we’ve already summarized a number of good points than negative ones.
he’s new. he’s fresh. he’s unconventional.
we have said so much about him.
pretty enough, we have changed the elections landscape with just the thought of him running.
Imagine, every pinoy to contribute for his campaign. this is something new. this is unlike any other.
As for Obama, a lot of people think that Obama’s landslide victory was due to the economic crisis which worked on his advantage as a better candidate. Time it seems is on his side.
I think we need some kind of tragedy to wake us up from our sleep and along with this crisis, a voice in the wilderness professing hope.
March 24, 2009 at 12:18 pm
I’d go with Bayani Fernando though.
But I hope that the effect of a Panlilio is that he inspires more reformists, maybe in us in our little ways, i.e. voting. True reform does not lie in the individual, true reform lies in spirit of a society.
March 24, 2009 at 2:31 pm
Chuck, I do share your apprehension with regards to Panlilio.. I would hope that if he does decide to pursue the Presidency, he lets go of his religious robe.
As much as he has been able to be seen as a reformist, we have to realize that even as Governor, he has had a hard time getting things done because much of the TraPos that have preceded him have tried their hardest to scandalize him, and pin down his administration. He has not been as effective as I had hoped, but I feel that this is only because he has not been given the proper chance..
Now, picture this situation that he is in now, and then magnify it for the entire nation.. and we see the uphill battle that he would have to go through..
But, a challenge is not a good reason to not vote for the man..
I, however, am cautious as of yet, since the situation in the ground can still change, and in politics, we measure years in weeks and not in actual years..
March 24, 2009 at 3:08 pm
from what i understand, panlilio, who comes from one of the old families of pampanga, was the last gasp of the old middle and upper classes, appalled over the gangsterism of the newcomers. despite serving the poor for so long, panilio didn’t get their vote, which led to a lot of angst and soul-searching on the part of those laboring to live up to the social teachings of the catholic church. panlilio himself had preferred randy david, who refused to run. panlilio only ran because those he considered decent alternatives refused to consider being candidates. he also won because the pinedas were fighting with the lapids and the president was unable to fulfill her traditional role of refereeing her local supporters, but when he squeaked through, they coalesced to block him -because, indeed, he represented a rejection of the usual way of running things.
he himself claims he continues to enjoy the support of a “silent majority,” and in a sense it’s unfair to criticize him for squeaking through yet failing to cobble together a coalition to back him.
March 24, 2009 at 3:37 pm
For all the strategic discussions ongoing everywhere the three main things that count the most in this country to the vast majority are almusal, tanghalian at hapunan.
In a presidential election the guy would be kulelat.
Go back to being a priest….. If he wants to be a politician to serve the public good then resign from the priesthood and run for mayor or whatever.
March 24, 2009 at 6:04 pm
It’s not enough reason that we should make Gov. Panlilio our president because he’s a new comer therefore not tainted yet.
The province of Pampanga needs the Father more than the country because the alternative there is a gambling lord ally of the President. But if the Kapampangans rather would want the jueteng to continue flourishing thus impoverishing them farther, they will dislodge the poor Gov on 2010 and we cannot do anything about it.
Me, I’m very willing to contribute even more than P1 for the Gov. and would vote for him as president provided I’m given enough concrete reasons why he should deserve that.
March 24, 2009 at 6:22 pm
¨Go back to being a priest….. If he wants to be a politician to serve the public good then resign from the priesthood and run for mayor or whatever.¨
He is already a politician…ang talino mo naman. He is the incumbent governor of pampanga…that qualifies him as a politician, right? hehehehe
and whats the fuzz of his being a priest? why tell him to resign his priesthood before allowing him to run for the top position of the land?
You people are really scared that panlilio will stir up the election and cause failure and pain to your corrupt and incompetent experienced clowns…hehehehe
March 24, 2009 at 6:24 pm
¨Me, I’m very willing to contribute even more than P1 for the Gov. and would vote for him as president provided I’m given enough concrete reasons why he should deserve that.¨
Dont bother yourself and you can keep your 1P…sagot na kita Bert…gawin ko pang 2P yung para sayo..at kada miembro ng pamilya mo…
but please…vote for your idol chiz…and say chizzz for the future of your children bwehehehehehe
March 24, 2009 at 7:26 pm
ikaw naman, Juwan, sagot mo ang contribution namin? parang ayaw mong iboto namin si Father.
hindi mo ba alam na ang election ng kandidato ay ‘addition’, eh, ikaw puro subtraction, paano mananalo ang manok mo?
wawa ka na, wawa pa manok mo, talo, heheh.
pero ako talaga, kapag nakita kong magaling, magco-contribute ako, peks man.
March 24, 2009 at 7:35 pm
ikaw na naman Bert? peks man talaga?